Friday, March 20, 2020

Daniel Webster essays

Daniel Webster essays The book that I read was entitled Daniel Webster and the Rise of the National Conservation. It was written by Richard N. Current and was published in the year of Daniel Webster was brought into this world on the 18th day of January in the year 1782 in the valley of the Merrimack, near the middle of New Hampshire. He was son of a farmer and never really lacked attention while he was growing up. Webster demonstrated startling powers of assimilation and retention even as a child. He received the best of his early education from newspapers, his mothers bible, political gossip throughout the town and listening to his fathers fascinating tales of great men and their battles. Webster graduated from Dartmouth college in 1801 and shortly after, in 1807 he opened a legal practice in Portsmouth, New Hampshire after a legal apprenticeship. Daniel was a leading lawyer, a wonderful orator, a father, husband, and statesmen. In 1812 he was elected to the United States House of Representatives due to his opposition to the war of 1812. In the year of 1816, Webster left the congress and moved to Boston with his wife and two children to the growing New England metropolis. Soon after his move he was earning about 20,000 dollars a year, yet still borrowing large sums of money from his friends. During this period of Websters life he won many major constitutional cases. In 1820 Webster believed that protective tarrifs would multiply the dangerous proletariat, and he was strongly opposed to them. A few years later in 1823 Webster returned to congress from Boston, and in 1824 he met the irrepressible tarrif advocates again and battled with their greatest successor, Henry Clay. In 1827 Webster was elected senator from Massachusetts. The six years ahead of him were going to stand out about all of his honors in the never-ending tourney of political debate. Unfortunately, the mother of his four children who had always c...

Wednesday, March 4, 2020

Predicting the Presidential Election with Baseball

Predicting the Presidential Election with Baseball Can the winner of the World Series predict who will become President of the United States? If the American League wins, will that mean a win for the Republican candidate? If the National League wins, does that mean a Democratic president for the next four years? A 24-Year Hot Streak Up until  the 1980 presidential election, it appeared that the World Series was an accurate predictor of the presidential race. From 1952 to 1976, whenever the  American League won the World Series, the President to win in that years election was a Republican. If the National League won, then the election went to the Democrat. However,  the Series hot streak ended with the 1980 election. That year, the Philadelphia Phillies, a National League team, won the Series and Ronald Reagan, a Republican, won the White House. Since then, the World Series has accurately predicted the presidential race 5 out of 9 times, giving is a batting average of 0.555 (or round it up to 0.556, if you must). Thats a very good average for baseball but otherwise is not much  better than flipping a coin. Seven-Game Sage The Series is a better predictor of presidents when it goes to seven games. In all of the following election years, the Series got it right. If an American League (AL) team won, so did the Republicans; if a National League (NL) team won, the next president was a Democrat. And the winners were... 1924: Washington Senators (AL) and Calvin Coolidge (R)1940: Cincinnati Reds (NL) and Franklin D. Roosevelt (D)1952 and 1956: New York Yankees (AL) and Dwight Eisenhower (R)1960: Pittsburgh Pirates (NL) and John F. Kennedy (D)1964: St. Louis Cardinals (NL) and Lyndon Johnson (D)1968 and 1972: Detroit Tigers (AL) and Richard Nixon (R) Another (Brief) Streak The Series got hot again in 2000 and accurately predicted the next four presidents, starting with George W. Bush. Actually, it was only two presidentsBush and Obama, both of whom won reelectionbut you cant fault the Series for that. In 2016, it was almost too close to call. The Cubs (National League) won, but so did Trump (Republican). Maybe the Series was banking on the popular vote, which was won by Democrat Hilary Clinton. Darn that electoral college! Other Sure Things? Many Americans swear by patterns and coincidences to help them predict presidential elections. Other examples of predictors from past and present years include the following: If the Washington Redskins win the week of the election, this means a win for the incumbent party. This has held true since 1936.Whichever candidates likeness is on the halloween mask that sells the most will be the next president.  When companies produce competing products, the one that sells the most is supposed to predict the winner. For example, if a company has cups with images of the Republican and Democratic candidates, the one that  outsells the other would be a predictor.If the Dow Jones Average goes up between  August and October, this predicts a win for the incumbent.If the Los Angeles Lakers win the the championship, then the Republican candidate will win. Obviously some of these predictors have a greater basis in reality than others. While most people would say that the Lakers or the Redskins winning is more chance than anything else, the state of the economy does have a huge impact on the presidential election. After all of these predictors, are we any closer to knowing who will win the next presidential election? The answer, of course, is no. However, one thing is fairly certain: to cover their bets, it is more than likely that the Republican candidate will be rooting for the American League team and the Democratic candidate will be cheering on the National League team when the first pitch is thrown in the 2020  World Series.